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Which Oscar surprises actually got them right?


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  • John Smisek
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    Just thinking about potential upsets coming up and where they’ll happen… what recent wins at Oscars do you think proved the Academy really is paying attention and picking the best, not the general consensus? For example:

    -Marion Cotillard winning Best Actress over Julie Christie

    -Moonlight besting La La Land

    -Ex Machina beating Revenant and Mad Max for visual effects

    -Christoph Waltz winning over Tommy Lee Jones & Robert DeNiro for “Django”

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    Lil Tony
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    First off, take Robert Deniro outta that list. His silly performance in Silver Linings Playbook wasn’t nomination worthy. He stole Javier Bardem’s spot. Replace him with Philip Seymour Huffman. He was great in The Master and should have won.

    Anyway, I believe they got it right with Marion Cottilard. Ex Machina wasn’t bad even though I preferred Mad Max: fury road. But honestly, The force awakens was the real frontrunner. As for Moonlight, boring.

    Lady Gaga (A Star is Born) should win best actress

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    Anthony
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    I was all for Marion Cotillard and wanted her to win so bad, but I was prepping myself for disappointment and actually predicted Julie Christie and hoping to be wrong. So happy that I WAS!!

    In terms of upsets or at least mild ones, that same year I predicted Tilda Swinton on a hunch primarily because that race was all over the place in the precursors with only really Saoirse Ronan not having the best shot (although I remember some saying the extreme vote splitting from the other four could benefit her). I basically went for Swinton because I felt she was the best in the category, it could also be seen as something of a career award, she won the most recent of televised precursors, and it was a way to honor Michael Clayton.

    I also called Alan Arkin, primarily because of the rumblings that a lot of people were turned off by Eddie Murphy’s demeanor and then when Dreamgirls was left out of the Best Picture race, I just felt like they wouldn’t give the movie TWO acting Oscars. Arkin had the veteran angle and another way to honor Little Miss Sunshine (though I wouldn’t have voted for him).

    This year, I really think Supporting Actress is the only one that’s a true open race. I think it is King vs. Weisz but I also have this weird feeling about Marina del Tavira.

    I can’t see any real big shocker in the other races.

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    Seven
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    – Marion Cotillard over Julie Christie

    – Moonlight over La La Land (I will always cherish that moment)

    – The Godfather over Cabaret (the latter had been sweeping the whole night until The Godfather came thru)

    – Precious over Up In The Air (didn’t care about that movie)

    – Adrien Brody over Day Lewis and Nicholson. The former eventually won two more trophies and Nicholson already had three. It was Brody’s only shot so everyone won

     

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    LLLhawks
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    Crash winning! Haha… but that was pretty far back.

    I wasn’t paying close attention but it seemed like Eddie Redmayne was an upset so I’ll go with him. I liked his performance much better than Keaton’s.

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    BenNunis
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    I agree with Crash (2005). Also, Denzel Washington for Training Day over Crowe, and Christophe Waltz for Django Unchained.

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    MoonlightTommy
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    I always thought Marcia Gay Hardens performance in Pollock was amazing. One of the biggest Oscar surprises.

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    TVFan365
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    #1202772881

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    Dennis El Mar
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    James Coburn in Affliction. Snubbed of GG nom, didn’t even win the Indie Spirit, and yet still won the Oscar over Ed Harris and Robert Duvall, both of whom had won precursors. It’s not a win that I hear about much, and it was somewhat of a career Oscar but Coburn blew me away and I’m so glad he won.

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    wilfredpickles
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    Mark Rylance and Ex Machina were two great surprises, can’t believe we were lucky enough to have them in the same year.

    Moonlight and La La Land is one I go back and forth on a lot. I still think the upset was at least partially due to backlash against the latter, in that sense I’d love to see more examples of Oscar voters getting sick of being told what they have to vote for. I love them both for different reasons and probably never would’ve been able to choose, I just wish that Moonlight had won without the whole envelope fiasco detracting from how extraordinary the result already was.

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    Anonymous
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    There are surprises during Academy Awards ceremony?

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